Mon, 05 Jan 2026

Mon, 05 Jan 2026 A prediction market user made $436,000 betting on Maduro's downfall

The account placed a $32,000 wager just before Trump announced the Venezuelan leader was in US custody.

* A Polymarket user made over $436,000 on a bet that Nicolás Maduro would be out of power by the end of January.
* The odds of Maduro's exit surged from 6.5% to 11% just before Trump announced his capture.
* Other users also made tens of thousands of dollars from wagers on Maduro's capture.
* A bill has been introduced in Congress to ban government employees from making trades on prediction markets based on inside information.
* The industry has faced scrutiny from regulators, but received a warmer welcome under the Trump presidency.
* Donald Trump Jr serves in advisory roles at Kalshi and Polymarket.
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