Mon, 19 Jan 2026

Mon, 19 Jan 2026 IMF warns of trade tension risk to global growth

Trade tensions and a reversal in the AI boom are among the main risks to global economic growth, the IMF says.

* Risks to global outlook include trade tensions and a potential reversal of the artificial intelligence boom
* IMF warns that an abrupt market correction triggered by overly optimistic expectations about AI growth could have significant consequences
* Trade tensions with US and European countries a major risk, particularly if uncertainty and disruptions to supply chains continue
* UK economy expected to grow at 1.4% in 2025, 1.3% this year, and 1.5% in 2027
* Global inflation expected to fall from 4.1% in 2025 to 3.8% in 2026 and further to 3.4% in 2027
* IMF emphasizes importance of central bank independence for macroeconomic stability and economic growth
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