Tue, 03 Mar 2026
The forecasts were made before the conflict in the Middle East broke out which could have a "very significant" impact, the OBR said.
* Chancellor Rachel Reeves claims her economic plan is working, despite lowered growth estimate for this year
* Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) cuts expected growth rate for 2026 to 1.1% from 1.4%
* OBR upgrades estimates for later years and expects inflation to be lower than previously thought
* Conflict in the Middle East could have a significant impact on global and UK economies, causing oil and gas prices to rise
* Reeves insists government has "the right economic plan" for the country, despite criticism from opposition parties
* OBR forecasts show:
+ Inflation expected to fall to 2.3% this year, down from 2.5%
+ Expected to reach Bank of England's target rate of 2% by end of 2026
* Business leaders express concern over lack of support for small businesses and potential impact of conflict on economy
* Chancellor announces she will set out "three major choices" in a speech later this month to determine the course of the economy.
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