Mon, 09 Mar 2026
The conflict in the Middle East could raise the cost of petrol, household energy bills and even food.
Petrol Prices:
* Average petrol prices have risen by 4.68p to 137.51p a litre, while diesel has increased by 8.59p to 150.97p
* Every $10 increase in oil pushes up pump prices by roughly 7p a litre
* Analysts predict that average petrol prices of over 140p a litre are inevitable, and 150p per litre could soon be breached
Mortgage Rates:
* Some lenders have raised interest rates on new fixed mortgages due to rising funding costs and uncertainty about the base borrowing rate
* Average rate on a two-year deal is up to 4.87%, and the average five-year fix is up to 4.98%
* There may be fewer mortgage deals available, particularly with longer durations
Household Bills:
* The energy price cap in England, Wales, and Scotland protects households from sharp increases in bills
* However, the cap only applies until July, and a sustained period of high wholesale costs could lead to sharp increases in energy prices
Heating Oil Prices:
* Campaigners say heating oil prices have more than doubled since the conflict began
* Orders for heating oil have been limited due to panic buying, leaving some households at risk of running out of fuel
Inflation:
* Analysts believe that UK inflation is unlikely to return to its peak of 11.1% seen in October 2022
* However, the war is expected to push up prices and reduce economic growth
Interest Rates:
* The Bank of England's governor has said there was scope for further rate cuts this year, but analysts now rule out that possibility
* Borrowing money could become more expensive than previously thought, while savings may be slightly more lucrative in times of uncertainty
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